IMOA
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Could the South China Sea dispute trigger a Sino-US war? Five charts that tell you who might win
Chinese expansion in the South China Sea is bringing conflict between Beijing and its neighbours – Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Vietnam – closer than it has been for decades. Vietnam has fortified several islands it controls, while Japan has been publicly rebuked by Beijing over its ‘interference’ in the sea – most of […]
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Duterte’s Tilt Toward China Upsets U.S. Strategy in Asia
Just when some of China’s neighbors were seeking to curtail its expansionism, along came Rodrigo Duterte. In less than three months on the job, the 71 year-old Philippine leader has used expletives in talking about U.S. President Barack Obama and vowed to end cooperation with the U.S. military in both fighting terrorism and patrolling the […]
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Whether the South China Sea Arbitral Award Matters Will Depend Almost Entirely On the U.S.
It has been two months since the UN Convention for the Law of the Sea arbitral tribunal issued its blockbuster award ruling against China’s maritime claims and activities in the South China Sea. Given all the buildup, it is remarkable how little has changed since the award was released. Was the award much ado about […]
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The “strategic triangle” that would allow Beijing to control the South China Sea
Of all the potential flashpoints in the contested South China Sea, none is more nervously watched today than Scarborough Shoal, a large coral atoll with a reef-rimmed lagoon. It encompasses 58 sq mi (150 sq km) and lies less than 150 miles (241 km) from the Philippines’ coast. Observers have long suspected that China wants […]
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South China Sea: The Case Against an ADIZ
Setting up an air defense identification zone in the South China Sea would be an ill-conceived step for Beijing. http://thediplomat.com/2016/09/south-china-sea-the-case-against-an-adiz/
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SOUTH CHINA SEA FISH STOCKS PLUMMETING: SCIENTIST WARNS ‘MASS STARVATION’
South China Sea fish stocks put in jeopardy by China’s island building projects, is not a matter of economics but of starvation. Professor John McManus of the National Center for Coral Reef Research at the University of Miami, has called on China and other countries in the South China Sea to get past their disputes […]
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CHINA’S REACTIONS TO THE ARBITRATION RULING WILL LEAD IT INTO BATTLES IT WON’T WIN, PART II
Part I examined the military implications of China’s continued “military” actions versus Japan in the East China Sea or the United States and other countries in the South China Sea if China were to establish an ADIZ. Part II examines whether China has real economic or trade leverage to force other countries, including the United […]
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Chinese air force carries out long-range drills in Pacific
BEIJING, Sept 12 (Reuters) – Chinese bombers, fighters and early warning and aerial refueling aircraft on Monday flew through the Bashi Channel that separates Taiwan and the Philippines to exercises in the Western Pacific, the air force said. The air force described the exercises are part of normal, annual, planned drills, which accord with international […]
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The “strategic triangle” that would allow Beijing to control the South China Sea
In this March 29, 2014 file photo, a Chinese Coast Guard ship attempts to block a Philippine government vessel as the latter tries to enter Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea to relieve Philippine troops and resupply provisions. While the global economy will dominate at the summit of the Group of 20 industrialized […]
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Parting the South China Sea How to Uphold the Rule of Law
July 12, 2016, marked a turning point in the long-standing disputes over the South China Sea. After more than three years of proceedings at the Permanent Court of Arbitration, an international body in The Hague, a tribunal constituted under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) issued a widely anticipated decision in […]